NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1030 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMSIS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...BAHAMA ISLANDS...ANDPORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH ANUPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW. SOME SLOWDEVELOPMENT...PERHAPS OF A SUBTROPICAL NATURE...IS POSSIBLE DURINGTHE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD ORWEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE REMNANTS OF KAREN...EXTEND FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EASTWARD FOR SEVERALHUNDRED MILES. THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IN THIS AREA COULDWEAKEN A LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT ANYDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS ITMOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA IS LOCATEDABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND IS MOVINGWEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING ONLYLIMITED AND INTERMITTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...AND REGENERATIONAPPEARS UNLIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.