Friday, October 5, 2007

Tropical Weather Update


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 5 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOWPRESSURE AREA IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS INCREASED ALITTLE THIS MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10MPH...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER INLAND OVERSOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA OR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TOO CCUR. HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUETO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT MOVES INLAND.
A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENTWATERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THISSYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLYNOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANY INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION SHOULDBE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THENEXT DAY OR TWO.
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...ISLOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONEDEVELOPMENT.
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 900MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. SIGNIFICANT REDEVELOPMENT OF THISSYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED ALTHOUGH INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CENTER ARE POSSIBLE.
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARDISLANDS NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A COUPLE OF HUNDREDMILES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND A LOW-LEVELTROUGH. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TOOCCUR.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AREASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. SOME SLOWDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO ASIT DRIFTS SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

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