Saturday, February 16, 2008

Potential Severe Weather on Sunday - Update

DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. A FEW GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY ON AREA LAKES AND WATERWAYS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA AS EARLY AS 10 AM IN THE FAR WEST...LASTING AS LATE AS 8 PM IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ALSO EXISTS.

A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WILL BE NEAR THE ALABAMA MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM...MOVE TO A LINE NEAR GADSDEN TO BIRMINGHAM TO DEMOPOLIS BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM...THEN AFFECT AREAS SOUTH OFLINE FROM WEDOWEE TO MONTGOMERY GENERALLY AFTER 3 PM.

THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DEMOPOLIS...TO CLANTON...TO WEDOWEE AFTER NOON ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BE A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FURTHER STATEMENTS REFINING THE THREAT AREAS AND THETIMING FOR YOUR SPECIFIC AREA. IF WATCHES ARE WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY... PLEASE TAKE QUICK ACTION.

BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH AT LEAST NOON ON MONDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE.

JUST A HEADS UP... THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

ANOTHER FRONT WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THIS PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE APPEARHIGH ENOUGH THAT SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG. STAY TUNED TO LATER STATEMENTS ADDRESSING SPECIFIC AREAS AND TIMING OR FOR A POTENTIAL THREAT UPGRADE.

Below is the Day 1 Convective Outlook - I have set this so it should automatically reload when it is updated early Sunday Morning. It will be update around 0600 Z or around Midnight.

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