UPDATE...MESOSCALE UPDATE.
STORMS REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE...WITH LACK OF INSTABILITY MAIN INHIBITING FACTOR IN DEVELOPMENT OF SIGNIFICANT/SEVERE CONVECTION. LATEST RUC13 RUNS CONTINUES TO DELAY ANY DESTABILIZATION FURTHER INTO THE AFTERNOON...BUT HAVE QUITE A BIT OF DOUBT THAT WE WILL SEE EITHER SUFFICIENT COOLING ALOFT OR SURFACE HEATING TO AMOUNT TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO SUSTAIN SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. IT SEEMS THE MODELS HAVE BEEN CHASING THE DOWNWARD TREND A BIT. SURFACE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY POISED TO ENTER WESTERN ALABAMA.
PREVIOUS CONCERNS FOR DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT ARE NOT CURRENTLY PANNING OUT THIS FAR SOUTH...AND WITH BEST H8 AND H3 WINDS EXITING NORTHEASTWARD... BEGINNING TO NOT BE AS CONCERNED WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR ANY CELLS THAT MAY FORM.SO FOR NOW...WILL PARE BACK THE SEVERE THREAT TO JUST MENTION OF STRONG STORMS.
REALLY DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING TO GET OUT OF HAND...BUT AS ALWAYS...WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH CONDITIONS FOR ANY DEVIATIONS TO THOSE EXPECTATIONS. ZONES/GRIDS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AND UPDATED TO REFLECT TRENDS.
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